trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 25 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1,234 | $1,234 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will Solana reach $160 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $31 | $31 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 22 | $1,227 | −$2 | -0% |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | Jun 22 | $1,216 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | May 12 | $79 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Luxembourg win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 12 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026? | Apr 17 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Apr 17 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 17 | $1,002 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Apr 17 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $1,041 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 16 | $966 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 16 | $1,008 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 16 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Apr 16 | $978 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Apr 16 | $943 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 14? | Apr 14 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Apr 14 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 14 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Apr 14 | $954 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Apr 07 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 07 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 07 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 03 | $144 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 03 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | Apr 03 | $52 | $0 | -0% |