Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:46:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf93c…0784
crypto · 290 markets active 1h ago
7.5score
+$5,940 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,940 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,940
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses183 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)290 / 290
History coverage77d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day7.2
Drawdown25%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,341
7 days+$4,753
14 days+$6,887
30 days+$6,643
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$16 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$20 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $209 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $102 +$48 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $205 +$119 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $510 −$500 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $512 +$163 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $502 +$25 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $105 +$208 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $234 +$186 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $515 +$355 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $620 +$608 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $502 +$22 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $500 +$9 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $528 +$1,987 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $516 −$500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $504 +$62 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $502 +$23 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $504 +$62 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1,034 +$786 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $107 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $514 −$500 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $210 −$100 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $1,532 +$623 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $506 −$500 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $1,546 +$1,083 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $649 −$649 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $503 +$41 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $473 +$205 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $527 −$500 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $514 +$239 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $206 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 11 $516 +$411 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $511 −$500 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $102 +$24 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $512 +$253 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $101 +$18 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $104 +$131 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $102 +$32 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $508 +$111 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$6,320
politics 1% −$379
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $151 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $324 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $103 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $510 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $675 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $512 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $502 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $105 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $420 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $103 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $27 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $105 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $870 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $515 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $106 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $106 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $877 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $105 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 +11.1% +0.5% 69% 58% +1.4%
≤30d 191 +5.1% -4.9% 67% 57% +1.1%
≤90d 290 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 54% -0.7%
all 290 -3.4% -12.6% 63% 54% -0.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.6% 54% -0.7%
10% -21.0% 42% -10.2%
15% -28.6% 32% -18.9%
20% -35.6% 20% -26.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 646 history records