Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf93b…405c
crypto · 882 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,465 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,465 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,465
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses494 / 417
Open positions0
Markets (closed)911 / 882
History coverage34d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day83.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 911 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$956
7 days−$1,077
14 days−$1,149
30 days−$1,687
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$125 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$8 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$8 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$8 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$5 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $102 +$26 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$21 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$10 +155%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$465
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $26 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $100 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 203 -24.2% -31.4% 41% 33% -34.0%
≤30d 676 -14.9% -23.0% 53% 47% -20.7%
≤90d 911 -13.3% -21.6% 54% 48% -15.8%
all 911 -13.3% -21.6% 54% 48% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.6% 48% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 39% -23.9%
15% -35.9% 25% -31.3%
20% -42.2% 15% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records