Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf931…fdcf
crypto · 2311 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$3,294 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,871 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$12,871
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses742 / 567
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1309 / 2311
History coverage19d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day142.3
Drawdown14%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1309 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$5,441
14 days+$11,808
30 days+$12,871
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$5 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$6 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $24 −$48 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$25 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$5 -204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$7 -203%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$14,909
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $15 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $14 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $13 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $11 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $711 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $180 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $23 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $22 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $19 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+64.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 620 +34.6% +21.8% 31% 31% +62.8%
≤30d 1309 +82.1% +64.7% 57% 56% +71.0%
≤90d 1309 +82.1% +64.7% 57% 56% +71.0%
all 1309 +82.1% +64.7% 57% 56% +71.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover142.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +64.7% 56% +71.0%
10% ← realistic here +49.0% 56% +54.7%
15% +34.6% 55% +39.7%
20% +21.4% 49% +26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.36 · official $1.36 (match) · 3500 history records