trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -15.5% | -23.5% | 0% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 25 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 48% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 24 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$1 | -46% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 05 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Canada join US as 51st state before July? | Dec 13 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 20 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Ci | Apr 19 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April? | Apr 18 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Elon tweet 125–149 times April 11–18? | Apr 16 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18? | Apr 16 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP reach $2.70 in April? | Apr 15 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 15 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 12 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 08 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 03 | $12 | $0 | +0% |