Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf925…3b1d
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$24
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses15 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)39 / 43
History coverage28d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day3.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 4 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$5
14 days−$19
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -84%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -82%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -59%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +37%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5AM ET Jun 07 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11AM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9AM ET Jun 05 $1 +$2 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7AM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5AM ET Jun 02 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4AM ET Jun 02 $1 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1AM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET Jun 01 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET Jun 01 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET Jun 01 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11AM ET May 31 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10AM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8AM ET May 31 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6AM ET May 31 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET May 31 $1 +$1 +72%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 +$1 +96%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $4 −$4 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 77% −$17
sports 15% −$8
other 8% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 SELL Over 6¢ $0 28m
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Over 36¢ $1 1h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 32¢ $1 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 23¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 14¢ $0 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $1 3h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 74¢ $1 3h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 10¢ $0 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 SELL Over 40¢ $1 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) SELL Mexico 94¢ $2 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 2.5 BUY Over 28¢ $1 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 23¢ $1 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 41¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-31.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -26.7% -33.7% 40% 40% -28.3%
≤30d 39 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 38% -39.5%
≤90d 39 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 38% -39.5%
all 39 -24.5% -31.7% 38% 38% -39.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.7% 38% -39.5%
10% -38.2% 31% -45.3%
15% -44.2% 26% -50.6%
20% -49.6% 18% -55.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.82 · official $2.82 (match) · 107 history records