trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -35.5% | -41.7% | 11% | 11% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -30.5% | -37.1% | 17% | 17% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 21% | 21% | -14.0% |
| all | 19 | -30.7% | -37.3% | 21% | 21% | -14.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.3% | 21% | -14.0% |
| 10% | -43.3% | 21% | -22.2% |
| 15% | -48.8% | 21% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -53.8% | 21% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers | New York Yankees | 44¢ | 44¢ | $174 | $172 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $100 | $104 | +$4 (+4%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | $92 | $92 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 24 | $91 | +$82 | +90% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $103 | −$6 | -6% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $14 | −$14 | -98% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $20 | −$6 | -29% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 17 | $31 | −$31 | -99% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$6 | -25% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$4 | -26% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 17 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros | Jun 16 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 16 | $15 | −$4 | -26% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 14 | $16 | +$13 | +79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026? | May 14 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | May 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | May 13 | $4 | +$7 | +168% |
| Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 10 | $10 | −$6 | -57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | May 10 | $3 | −$2 | -55% |
| Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026? | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026? | May 10 | $5 | −$5 | -96% |