Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf91c…baa7
sports · 719 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$14,460 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23,412 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$23,412
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses429 / 718
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Est. fees paid−$1,552
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1147 / 719
History coverage55d
Avg bet$268
Trades / day55.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 1147 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46,604
7 days−$45,645
14 days−$42,967
30 days−$32,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 14¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
First Blood in Game 2? Invictus Gaming 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $86 −$86 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $73 −$73 -100%
First Blood in Game 2? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $108 −$108 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$11 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: Lakers (-3.5) Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $88 −$88 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$9,448
crypto 3% −$416
other 1% +$277
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 33¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 33¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 33¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 33¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL MOUZ 33¢ $39 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 4¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 36¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 17¢ $36 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 94¢ $105 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 70¢ $26 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $8 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $11 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 65¢ $130 4h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 17¢ $34 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $28 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 35¢ $32 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $69 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 62¢ $6 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $179 5h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 92¢ $165 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $100 5h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $56 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 74¢ $120 6h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 68¢ $110 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $3 7h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 4¢ $12 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-46.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 695 -80.8% -82.6% 9% 8% -74.9%
≤30d 931 -55.5% -59.7% 28% 21% -31.2%
≤90d 1147 -41.1% -46.7% 37% 28% -19.7%
all 1147 -41.1% -46.7% 37% 28% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -46.7% 28% -19.7%
10% ← realistic here -51.8% 20% -27.4%
15% -56.5% 14% -34.4%
20% -60.7% 11% -40.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 3500 history records