Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:56:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf91a…e386 crypto 183 markets active 5d ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (161 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$467 (+10%) realized +$467 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate43%78W / 105L
Drawdown41%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day160.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$279
14 days+$279
30 days+$734
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$734
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (161 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +13.7% +2.9% 37% 37% +50.7%
≤30d 183 +18.1% +6.8% 43% 43% +4.3%
≤90d 183 +18.1% +6.8% 43% 43% +4.3%
all 183 +18.1% +6.8% 43% 43% +4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover160.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.8% 43% +4.3%
10% ← realistic here -3.4% 42% -5.6%
15% -12.7% 42% -14.8%
20% -21.3% 39% -23.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +15% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt +15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +19% → late +17% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
17.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$41 vs −$23 · ×1.75 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.3 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$467
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses78 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)183 / 183
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$26
Trades / day160.5
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 183 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$90 +223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$44 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$70 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$38 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$77 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$153 +374%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET May 31 $40 +$75 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET May 31 $18 +$27 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 31 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 31 $42 −$37 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 31 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 31 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 31 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 31 $18 +$57 +311%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 31 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 31 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 31 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 31 $35 +$110 +317%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 31 $38 +$71 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 31 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 31 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 31 $38 +$142 +376%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 31 $5 +$5 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $41 +$49 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 31 $40 +$70 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 31 $2 +$3 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 31 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 31 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 31 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 31 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $30 +$35 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 31 $5 +$6 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET May 31 $41 +$19 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET May 31 $40 +$111 +282%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET May 31 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET May 31 $37 +$54 +144%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records