Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:59:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F9 0xf90a…5c37 crypto 166 markets active 2h ago coverage 15d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$130 (+7%) realized +$130 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate39%65W / 101L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day27.5pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$59
7 days−$10
14 days−$85
30 days−$101
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$92
other 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +4.3% -5.6% 40% 40% -10.2%
≤30d 166 -3.5% -12.7% 39% 38% -14.8%
≤90d 166 -3.5% -12.7% 39% 38% -14.8%
all 166 -3.5% -12.7% 39% 38% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 38% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 37% -23.0%
15% -28.6% 37% -30.4%
20% -35.6% 37% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -12% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$10 · ×1.39 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.89 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$130
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses65 / 101
Open positions0
Markets (closed)166 / 166
History coverage15d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 166 Trades
no open positions (73 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $81 −$78 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$7 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $29 +$24 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 18 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 18 $31 +$36 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $38 +$59 +158%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 18 $52 +$82 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$26 +64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$10 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$9 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $29 −$24 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $21 +$29 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $62 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $3 +$16 +503%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$33 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$9 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $32 −$31 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $23 +$24 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $51 +$55 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$18 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $41 +$39 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $57 −$5 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$11 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 18 $26 +$22 +84%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$12 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 18 $11 +$34 +316%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $30 −$29 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $65 −$62 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $9 +$11 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $14 −$13 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$10 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $53 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $10 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 466 history records