Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:15:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F9
0xf906…1567
crypto · 1694 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$92 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$92 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1
Realized−$92
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses1620 / 73
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1693 / 1694
History coverage26d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day72.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1693 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$39
14 days−$121
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 97¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 91¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 51¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 62¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 90¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 72¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 95¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 97¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 58¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 71¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 60¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 56¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 95¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 99¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
sports 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 11h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 39¢ $51 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $30 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 15h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 17h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -10.0%
≤30d 1693 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 3% -9.7%
≤90d 1693 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 3% -9.7%
all 1693 -0.4% -9.9% 96% 3% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 3% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 1% -18.3%
15% -26.4% 1% -26.2%
20% -33.6% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.59 · official $0.00 (match) · 3484 history records