Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:48:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F8 0xf8ec…99ee crypto 2004 markets active 0h ago coverage 32d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 32d only
✗ bot/MM pace (87 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$187 (+2%) realized +$187 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate59%1133W / 789L
Drawdown54%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day87.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$112
7 days+$257
14 days+$373
30 days+$435
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$789
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (87 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 498 +8.7% -1.7% 61% 60% -0.2%
≤30d 1591 +4.5% -5.5% 60% 59% -4.6%
≤90d 1922 +2.8% -6.9% 59% 58% -6.1%
all 1922 +2.8% -6.9% 59% 58% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 58% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 56% -15.1%
15% -24.0% 52% -23.3%
20% -31.4% 45% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$5 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.09 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

32d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$187
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses1133 / 789
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1922 / 2004
History coverage32d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day87.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1922 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $9 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records