trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 47% | 47% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 47% | 47% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -6.3% | -15.2% | 47% | 47% | -9.1% |
| all | 107 | -9.0% | -17.6% | 46% | 44% | -16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 44% | -16.2% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 42% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 36% | -31.5% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 31% | -38.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 36¢ | 90¢ | $15 | $38 | +$23 (+149%) |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Colombia | 44¢ | 46¢ | $20 | $21 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $30 | +$22 | +73% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$25 | +50% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $71 | +$114 | +160% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $121 | +$58 | +48% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $115 | −$114 | -99% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $51 | +$45 | +90% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $102 | −$43 | -42% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $101 | −$72 | -71% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $253 | +$138 | +54% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $36 | −$19 | -54% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $101 | −$59 | -58% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $102 | +$104 | +102% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $202 | +$84 | +42% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Jan 25 | $78 | −$51 | -65% |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Jan 25 | $57 | −$57 | -100% |
| Spread: Texans (-3.5) | Jan 20 | $57 | +$20 | +35% |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Jan 12 | $41 | −$3 | -8% |
| Spread: Patriots (-1.5) | Jan 12 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-4.5) | Jan 12 | $101 | −$97 | -96% |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jan 11 | $20 | +$21 | +108% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Jan 11 | $28 | −$9 | -30% |
| Spread: Rams (-10.5) | Jan 11 | $16 | +$12 | +72% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5 | Jan 05 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Spread: Ravens (-3.5) | Jan 05 | $150 | −$50 | -33% |
| Ravens vs. Steelers | Jan 05 | $150 | −$2 | -2% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-2.5) | Jan 04 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-1.5) | Jan 03 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Texans vs. Chargers | Dec 27 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Dec 27 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Dec 27 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| 49ers vs. Colts | Dec 23 | $50 | +$24 | +49% |
| Patriots vs. Ravens | Dec 22 | $53 | −$3 | -6% |
| Jaguars vs. Broncos | Dec 22 | $24 | +$39 | +165% |
| Packers vs. Bears | Dec 21 | $56 | −$22 | -40% |
| Eagles vs. Commanders | Dec 21 | $44 | +$12 | +28% |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Dec 20 | $24 | +$20 | +82% |
| Dolphins vs. Steelers | Dec 15 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) | Dec 15 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Spread: Bills (-1.5) | Dec 15 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Panthers vs. Saints | Dec 13 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 41.5 | Dec 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Raiders vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 | Dec 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Panthers (-2.5) | Dec 13 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Browns vs. Bears: O/U 40.5 | Dec 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers | Dec 12 | $40 | +$14 | +35% |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) | Dec 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |