Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:44:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8e3…fd17
crypto · 34 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
−$368 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$368 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$368
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses16 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
Avg bet$1,148
Trades / day3416.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$368
7 days−$368
14 days−$368
30 days−$368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,095 −$122 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1,461 −$96 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $983 −$24 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,436 −$21 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $608 +$71 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $315 +$45 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $949 −$45 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $733 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $804 +$51 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $795 −$47 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $733 +$43 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,001 −$3 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,124 +$23 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2,013 −$20 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,051 +$3 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $2,847 −$333 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,957 −$79 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,433 −$40 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,213 +$37 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1,678 −$14 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,497 +$23 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,130 +$27 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,528 +$71 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $235 +$27 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $704 +$42 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1,003 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1,348 −$13 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1,099 −$21 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,374 −$42 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $1,678 +$56 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $962 −$77 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1,148 −$62 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $473 +$35 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $620 +$151 +24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$368
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $77 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $56 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $16 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $89 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $41 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $9 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $80 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $0 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $11 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $14 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 47% 12% -10.4%
≤30d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 47% 12% -10.4%
≤90d 34 +0.9% -8.7% 47% 12% -10.4%
all 34 +0.9% -8.7% 47% 12% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3416.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 12% -10.4%
10% -17.4% 3% -19.0%
15% ← realistic here -25.4% 0% -26.8%
20% -32.7% 0% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records