Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:01:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf8d6…1f26
crypto · 176 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$76 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$73 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$73
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses61 / 113
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)174 / 176
History coverage74d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 174 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$29
7 days−$29
14 days−$29
30 days−$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 20¢ 12¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ 14¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-68%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 −$6 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -63%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$61
other 4% −$11
sports 1% −$4
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $1 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 52¢ $2 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 15¢ $2 27h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $4 28h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $4 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $3 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-30.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -19.7% -27.4% 46% 40% -27.7%
≤30d 63 -19.7% -27.4% 46% 40% -27.7%
≤90d 174 -23.5% -30.8% 35% 30% -28.6%
all 174 -23.5% -30.8% 35% 30% -28.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.8% 30% -28.6%
10% -37.4% 25% -35.4%
15% -43.5% 22% -41.7%
20% -49.0% 18% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.37 · official $2.37 (match) · 473 history records