trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +2.3% | -7.5% | 75% | 0% | -6.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +3.5% | -6.4% | 67% | 8% | -7.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 73% | 13% | -7.6% |
| all | 15 | +4.1% | -5.8% | 73% | 13% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -5.8% | 13% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -14.8% | 0% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -23.0% | 0% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -30.6% | 0% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 84¢ | $83 | $83 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $63 | $62 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 87¢ | 87¢ | $43 | $43 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 74¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 22 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 22 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 22 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | Jun 22 | $91 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $1 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 06 | $30 | −$3 | -10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +7% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +8% |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch? | May 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |