Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:05:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F8 0xf87e…5752 crypto 738 markets active 1h ago coverage 65d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$1,389 (-9%) realized −$1,389 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%724W / 14L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day11.6pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$30
14 days+$2
30 days+$55
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 86% +$72
other 8% −$64
finance 7% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +0.7% -8.9% 99% 0% -8.2%
≤30d 362 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 738 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 738 +0.2% -9.3% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.0% 0% -18.2%
15% -25.9% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$23 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,389
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses724 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)738 / 738
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$20
Trades / day11.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 738 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $17 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET Jun 20 $32 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $9 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 19? Jun 19 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 19? Jun 19 $29 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19? Jun 19 $30 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 19 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $46 +$4 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 19 $4 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 19 $12 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $12 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 8AM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET Jun 17 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $12 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $18 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $17 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $32 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $18 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $12 14h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 19? BUY Yes 98¢ $29 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 19? BUY No 98¢ $29 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 19? BUY Yes 96¢ $30 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $50 22h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23h
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 23h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $9 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $46 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 29h
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $12 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 31h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $12 47h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $18 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.18 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records