Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf87c…624c
crypto · 890 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,052 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,052 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,052
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses464 / 426
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)890 / 890
History coverage51d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day62.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 890 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$883
14 days−$961
30 days−$1,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$6 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$5 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $35 −$9 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$6 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $36 −$19 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 10 $32 −$16 -50%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $62 −$13 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $54 −$35 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 −$14 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $87 −$47 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Lavked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series Jun 10 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $72 −$72 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$1,834
sports 1% −$198
other 0% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $12 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $13 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 75 -44.1% -49.4% 24% 16% -52.4%
≤30d 435 -12.7% -21.0% 47% 30% -21.6%
≤90d 890 -11.1% -19.6% 52% 29% -18.1%
all 890 -11.1% -19.6% 52% 29% -18.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 29% -18.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 16% -25.9%
15% -34.3% 7% -33.1%
20% -40.7% 4% -39.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records