trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -21.7% | -29.2% | 54% | 38% | +12.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -11.5% | -20.0% | 55% | 45% | -1.1% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -9.0% | -17.7% | 56% | 48% | -0.4% |
| all | 30 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 60% | 50% | +18.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 50% | +18.0% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 43% | +6.7% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 33% | -3.6% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 20% | -13.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | Yes | 48¢ | 32¢ | $3,473 | $2,295 | −$1,178 (-34%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 25¢ | 2¢ | $2,269 | $213 | −$2,056 (-91%) |
| Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | $84 | $30 | −$54 (-65%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Jun 22 | $3 | −$3 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Jun 22 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | Jun 22 | $27 | −$25 | -94% |
| Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals | Jun 22 | $55 | −$54 | -98% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 22 | $500 | +$19 | +4% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 22 | $116 | +$1 | +1% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $181 | −$178 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $187 | −$6 | -3% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 21 | $392 | +$224 | +57% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 21 | $504 | +$199 | +40% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 21 | $506 | +$199 | +39% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $815 | +$388 | +48% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $615 | +$201 | +33% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Jun 15 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will "LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI" win Palme d'Or | Jun 15 | $149 | −$149 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 15 | $2,993 | −$2,993 | -100% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,016 | +$779 | +77% |
| Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 14 | $873 | +$298 | +34% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $612 | +$773 | +126% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1,764 | +$1,401 | +79% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 03 | $215 | +$101 | +47% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? | Jun 01 | $56 | −$20 | -35% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 24 | $2,146 | +$366 | +17% |
| Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | May 07 | $36 | −$25 | -70% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | May 05 | $9,499 | +$2,071 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Apr 12 | $21 | +$29 | +139% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 12 | $1,083 | −$1,063 | -98% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | May 18 | $8,228 | +$7,590 | +92% |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | May 07 | $2,143 | +$564 | +26% |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? | May 03 | $114 | +$6 | +6% |