trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -18.4% | -26.1% | 0% | 0% | -22.4% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 0% | 0% | -20.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 0% | 0% | -20.6% |
| all | 25 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 0% | 0% | -20.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.3% | 0% | -20.6% |
| 10% | -31.5% | 0% | -28.2% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 0% | -35.1% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 0% | -41.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 26 | $28 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0% | Jun 25 | $8 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Jun 24 | $11 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 23 | $4 | −$1 | -18% |
| Will the announcers say "Nutmeg / Meg" during the England vs Ghana FIF | Jun 23 | $11 | −$9 | -83% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | Jun 22 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | Jun 22 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? | Jun 22 | $16 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the | Jun 17 | $9 | −$1 | -6% |
| Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | -44% |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $930 Week of June 15 2026? | Jun 16 | $4 | −$2 | -59% |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Jun 16 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m | Jun 16 | $17 | −$1 | -8% |
| Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Jun 16 | $16 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 15 | $7 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 15 | $30 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of June 15 2026? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Erling Haaland score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Folarin Balogun score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$1 | -21% |
| Will Christian Pulisic score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $12 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Morocco be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group S | Jun 12 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Bart Verbruggen be in Netherlands's Starting 11? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Kim Min-jae score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$7 | -64% |