trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +98.4% | +79.5% | 25% | 25% | +230.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +87.7% | +69.8% | 33% | 22% | +204.7% |
| all | 9 | +87.7% | +69.8% | 33% | 22% | +204.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +69.8% | 22% | +204.7% |
| 10% | +53.6% | 22% | +175.5% |
| 15% | +38.7% | 11% | +148.9% |
| 20% | +25.1% | 11% | +124.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $1,021 | +$304 | +30% |
| Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Kim Jin-tae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | Jun 04 | $478 | −$478 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $479 | −$479 | -100% |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Jun 04 | $202 | −$202 | -100% |
| Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e | Jun 04 | $987 | −$987 | -100% |
| Will Park Heong-joon win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 04 | $3,202 | −$3,003 | -94% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $2,004 | +$27,080 | +1351% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el | May 05 | $999 | +$21 | +2% |