trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -39.2% | -44.9% | 33% | 33% | -36.0% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +3.8% | -6.1% | 50% | 50% | -33.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 46% | 38% | -33.1% |
| all | 13 | +3.3% | -6.6% | 46% | 38% | -33.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.6% | 38% | -33.1% |
| 10% | -15.5% | 31% | -39.5% |
| 15% | -23.7% | 31% | -45.3% |
| 20% | -31.2% | 23% | -50.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $303 | $267 | −$35 (-12%) |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 83¢ | 86¢ | $182 | $187 | +$4 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft? | Jun 22 | $504 | −$45 | -9% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $28 | −$28 | -100% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $60 | +$24 | +40% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $52 | +$7 | +14% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $262 | −$209 | -80% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $197 | −$192 | -97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $28 | +$65 | +233% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $68 | +$59 | +86% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 26 | $22 | +$12 | +55% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $15 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 14 | $3 | $0 | +10% |