Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf82b…9efd
other · 434 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8,920 -142%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,417 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,417
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses187 / 245
Open positions0
Markets (closed)432 / 434
History coverage7d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day462.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 0 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$563
7 days−$1,417
14 days−$1,417
30 days−$1,417
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +41%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +50%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +43%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$14 +116%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$4 +33%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +17%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$21 -74%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $58 −$49 -85%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$33 -88%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 +$1 +376%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $57 −$19 -34%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +82%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$1,417
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 17h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 18h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 19h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 20h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 23h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 23h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 432 -10.8% -19.3% 43% 39% -30.3%
≤30d 432 -10.8% -19.3% 43% 39% -30.3%
≤90d 432 -10.8% -19.3% 43% 39% -30.3%
all 432 -10.8% -19.3% 43% 39% -30.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover462.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.3% 39% -30.3%
10% ← realistic here -27.0% 34% -37.0%
15% -34.0% 28% -43.1%
20% -40.5% 18% -48.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records