Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:58:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F8 0xf829…be54 other 4 markets active 7d ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (68 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1 (+0%) realized +$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 4L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$70per market
Trades / day68.0pace
Kalshi-fit0%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -5.9% -14.8% 0% 0% -14.8%
≤30d 4 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.4%
≤90d 4 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.4%
all 4 -5.5% -14.5% 0% 0% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover68.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.5% 0% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.7% 0% -22.6%
15% -30.2% 0% -30.1%
20% -37.0% 0% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
18.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$4 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day68.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 4 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? Jun 10 $57 −$3 -6%
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? Jun 10 $71 −$4 -6%
Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Jun 10 $98 −$4 -4%
Will Nicolai Højgaard win the 2026 TOUR Championship? Jun 08 $54 −$3 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $4 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $3 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $3 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? SELL Yes 0¢ $2 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? SELL Yes 0¢ $5 6d
Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 144 history records