Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:33:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf825…b9ff
sports · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,336 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,320 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,527
Realized−$2,320
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses301 / 256
Est. fees paid−$55
Open positions16
Markets (closed)557 / 573
History coverage145d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 16 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$133
7 days−$391
14 days−$391
30 days−$391
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $1,233 $1,283 +$50 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1,233 $1,230 −$4 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $651 $640 −$11 (-2%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $112 +$13 (+13%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $77 −$23 (-23%)
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $75 −$25 (-25%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 56¢ 54¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-4%)
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner Switzerland 73¢ 70¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 85¢ 74¢ $15 $13 −$2 (-14%)
World Cup: First Penalty Made or Missed? Made 81¢ 80¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Antoine Semenyo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 55¢ 55¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Over 47¢ 48¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 50¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-12%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Under 90¢ 74¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-18%)
Will Jordan be the worst-placed Asian nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 49¢ 9¢ $10 $2 −$8 (-82%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $21 +$14 +70%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $46 −$21 -45%
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova Jun 13 $15 +$5 +35%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $69 +$75 +109%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 12 $15 +$3 +17%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $16 +$15 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $19 −$15 -78%
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? Jun 12 $15 −$1 -4%
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group St Jun 12 $20 −$1 -3%
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15 +$1 +3%
Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $15 $0 +2%
Will Tunisia finish last in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group S Jun 12 $12 +$1 +4%
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cu Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Set 2 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $47 −$31 -66%
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $15 +$7 +44%
Set 2 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Kyrgios Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Ousmane Dembélé score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $20 $0 +1%
Will Iran Play in the World Cup? Jun 11 $60 +$1 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $17 −$17 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $5 $0 +10%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $15 −$7 -44%
Humbert vs. Bonzi: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5) Jun 11 $12 +$1 +6%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $15 +$7 +46%
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Kyrgios Jun 11 $15 +$10 +63%
Set 1 Winner: Hijikata vs Tiafoe Jun 11 $5 +$3 +60%
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Struff (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Nigeria O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $15 +$5 +36%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$520
sports 48% −$1,570
crypto 2% −$173
world 1% −$58
finance 0% +$4
politics 0% −$17
tech 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 56¢ $20 20m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata SELL Rinky Hijikata 18¢ $1 45m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 12¢ $1 47m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 58¢ $21 1h
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? BUY Yes 81¢ $16 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 90¢ $9 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners BUY Over 47¢ $10 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Team to Take First Corner BUY Switzerland 73¢ $15 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Alexander Bublik 25¢ $25 3h
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova SELL Raducanu 99¢ $20 4h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 95¢ $12 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 29¢ $20 4h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 75¢ $25 4h
Set 1 Winner: Raducanu vs Rakhimova BUY Raducanu 73¢ $15 4h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 79¢ $10 4h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $69 17h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 AND Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegov SELL 0¢ $0 17h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $15 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $10 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 68¢ $10 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 85¢ $15 22h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Team to Take First Corner BUY Canada 68¢ $10 22h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 34¢ $18 23h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL Yes 86¢ $9 24h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 9¢ $0 24h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime 14¢ $4 24h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $3 25h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $1 25h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $1 25h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 25¢ $22 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 -5.6% -14.6% 58% 46% -26.9%
≤30d 72 -5.6% -14.6% 58% 46% -26.9%
≤90d 394 -22.2% -29.6% 52% 41% -41.3%
all 557 -7.9% -16.7% 54% 46% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -16.7% 46% -20.9%
10% -24.7% 36% -28.5%
15% -32.0% 30% -35.4%
20% -38.6% 24% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,526.74 · official $3,526.74 (match) · 1368 history records