Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:22:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf821…7cb7
crypto · 183 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$42 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$42
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses149 / 30
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)179 / 183
History coverage11d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 4 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days−$186
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Qatar 83¢ 82¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 +$42 +412%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 09 $28 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $26 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$4 +360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 09 $22 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 09 $22 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 09 $23 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $22 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $22 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $20 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $28 −$28 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$79
other 1% +$37
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 30¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 28m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -4.7% -13.7% 69% 18% -23.0%
≤30d 179 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 17% -10.3%
≤90d 179 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 17% -10.3%
all 179 -0.9% -10.4% 83% 17% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 17% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 8% -18.9%
15% -26.8% 6% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 5% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.92 · official $40.92 (match) · 509 history records