Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:55:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf809…09af
crypto · 94 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$227 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses29 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)94 / 94
History coverage415d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 94 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$132
14 days−$146
30 days−$217
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$19 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$17 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$9 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$8 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$36 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$29 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $67 −$49 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$56 +222%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$102 +269%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$28 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$27 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$8 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$13 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$14 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$8 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 09 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $9 −$3 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 09 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$217
other 1% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-35.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -18.0% -25.8% 39% 39% -23.9%
≤30d 93 -28.0% -34.9% 31% 31% -29.3%
≤90d 93 -28.0% -34.9% 31% 31% -29.3%
all 94 -28.8% -35.6% 31% 31% -30.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -35.6% 31% -30.0%
10% -41.8% 27% -36.7%
15% -47.4% 23% -42.8%
20% -52.5% 21% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 525 history records