Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F8
0xf800…daf7
crypto · 591 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,214 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,214 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,214
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses13 / 578
Open positions0
Markets (closed)591 / 591
History coverage52d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day60.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$135
7 days−$323
14 days−$321
30 days−$522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 5? No 3¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Up 4¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 6? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $30 −$29 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $43 −$41 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $29 −$22 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 09 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $119 −$111 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $33 −$31 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $46 −$43 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 09 $41 −$38 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET Jun 09 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$220 +5492%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,208
other 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-68.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -56.4% -60.5% 2% 2% -81.2%
≤30d 188 -63.5% -67.0% 3% 3% -63.8%
≤90d 591 -65.2% -68.5% 2% 2% -54.7%
all 591 -65.2% -68.5% 2% 2% -54.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -68.5% 2% -54.7%
10% ← realistic here -71.5% 2% -59.1%
15% -74.3% 2% -63.0%
20% -76.8% 2% -66.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records