Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7ff…a74c
sports · 406 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$11
Realized−$49
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses198 / 206
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions2
Markets (closed)404 / 406
History coverage91d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day13.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 404 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$82
7 days−$15
14 days−$70
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 46¢ 50¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI HANJIN BRION 16¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Movistar KOI 34¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Bilibili Gaming Junior 12¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs PCIFIC $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs GIANTX 14¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Fluxo W7M 23¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 88¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 76¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In CITA Kaizen 22¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 32¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 14¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Ruddy Sack (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Frites Esports Club 57¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 19¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 24¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Leviatan Esports 14¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 27¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs UCAM Esports Club 24¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs The Bandits 80¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Frites Esports Club 11¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Karmine Corp Blue $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs The Ruddy Sack 19¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Fluxo W7M 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $161 +$10 +6%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $110 −$3 -3%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $8 −$7 -82%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $110 +$21 +19%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $37 +$9 +25%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $38 +$20 +52%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $34 +$15 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $39 +$4 +10%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $14 +$14 +95%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $20 +$8 +41%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $10 +$1 +9%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $3 −$2 -66%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $15 +$13 +89%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $2 +$1 +62%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $9 −$4 -44%
LoL: CITA Kaizen vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 09 $5 $0 -5%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $10 +$7 +63%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Ruddy Sack (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Jun 08 $8 −$6 -73%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Am Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $10 +$5 +49%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $115 −$100 -87%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $2 $0 +23%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers Leag Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Verdant vs The Ruddy Sack (BO5) - NLC Playoffs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Jun 05 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $5 −$5 -98%
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 02 $43 −$31 -71%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $103 +$10 +10%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $123 +$12 +10%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $2 $0 -10%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 31 $23 −$2 -10%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 31 $16 −$9 -60%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $138 +$19 +14%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $5 +$2 +49%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 31 $14 +$3 +22%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs May 30 $77 −$2 -3%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl May 30 $115 +$42 +36%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $47 −$23 -49%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 30 $24 +$5 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$67
crypto 24% −$77
other 1% −$12
world 1% −$24
politics 0% −$5
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Team Liquid 46¢ $10 34m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy $1 59m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 24¢ $4 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 66¢ $7 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 30¢ $3 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 99¢ $1 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 92¢ $106 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Team Heretics Academy 50¢ $46 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 86¢ $100 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 81¢ $64 2h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOS 76¢ $60 2h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs SELL Galions 100¢ $105 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 15¢ $1 3h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs SELL G2 NORD $1 3h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs SELL Misa Esports $2 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 17¢ $1 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 16¢ $1 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 23¢ $2 3h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Galions 95¢ $100 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 27¢ $1 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 27¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 33¢ $3 4h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD $1 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 36¢ $4 4h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 42¢ $4 4h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD 13¢ $1 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD 19¢ $1 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD 17¢ $2 5h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY G2 NORD 17¢ $3 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 54¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -11.9% -20.3% 50% 46% -11.5%
≤30d 124 -1.5% -10.8% 47% 44% -12.2%
≤90d 317 -21.7% -29.2% 37% 34% -20.1%
all 404 -1.9% -11.3% 49% 45% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.3% 45% -12.7%
10% -19.8% 39% -21.1%
15% -27.5% 34% -28.7%
20% -34.6% 29% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.82 · official $10.82 (match) · 1488 history records