Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T21:13:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf7fd…6aea crypto 517 markets active 0h ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (84 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$14 (+0%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%505W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day83.7pace
Kalshi-fit53%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 69% −$7
other 31% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (84 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 517 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.4%
≤30d 517 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.4%
≤90d 517 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.4%
all 517 -0.5% -9.9% 98% 1% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover83.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 1% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt +0% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$14 · ×0.03 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.08 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses505 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)517 / 517
History coverage6d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day83.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 517 Trades
no open positions (13 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $12 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $21 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 15 $69 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $101 −$101 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $89 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $67 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $101 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $35 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$3 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 15 $101 +$2 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $85 +$2 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 28m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 43m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $69 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $69 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $69 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $69 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $101 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $101 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.61 · official $0.00 (match) · 1026 history records