Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:01:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7f8…a9ef
other · 52 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$591 +47%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$540 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$220
Realized+$540
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses17 / 27
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions8
Markets (closed)44 / 52
History coverage3d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown37%
Kalshi-fit52%
Chart Positions 8 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$523
7 days+$540
14 days+$540
30 days+$540
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $56 $55 −$1 (-2%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners Over 56¢ 56¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 27¢ 26¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Over 36¢ 34¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-3%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-11%)
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-31%)
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $15 $5 −$10 (-69%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Under 41¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Qatar 2¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$4 -18%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $36 −$26 -75%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $19 +$235 +1272%
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? Jun 14 $31 +$62 +201%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $41 +$174 +426%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $29 +$85 +295%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 14 $30 +$30 +98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Team to Take First Corner Jun 14 $30 −$30 -98%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $25 −$25 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $46 +$159 +344%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $51 −$15 -30%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 5.5 Corners Jun 14 $46 +$51 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +83%
Qatar to score first vs. Switzerland? Jun 13 $13 −$13 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even? Jun 13 $46 −$45 -99%
Spread: Qatar (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $15 +$22 +146%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $20 +$31 +155%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $30 +$22 +72%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 +$33 +213%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $12 −$4 -34%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $36 −$25 -71%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $61 −$46 -75%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $41 +$61 +150%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$30 +146%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 11 $18 −$18 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% +$276
sports 42% +$257
crypto 6% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $21 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Over 56¢ $51 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 11.5 Total Corners BUY Over 27¢ $20 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Over 36¢ $19 1h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $57 1h
Exact Score: Germany 3 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 16¢ $43 2h
Exact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao? BUY Yes 2¢ $15 2h
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Curaçao? BUY Yes 4¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $21 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 13¢ $9 2h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) SELL Australia 85¢ $254 2h
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? SELL Yes 100¢ $92 2h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 97¢ $215 2h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? SELL Yes 21¢ $114 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 30¢ $9 4h
Spread: Australia (-1.5) BUY Australia 6¢ $19 4h
Australia to score first vs. Türkiye? BUY Yes 33¢ $31 4h
Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 3¢ $21 4h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 5¢ $29 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Team to Take First Corner BUY Australia 46¢ $30 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $25 4h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $36 4h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $41 4h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 91¢ $41 5h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 79¢ $163 5h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? SELL Yes 14¢ $36 5h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 19¢ $51 6h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 18¢ $46 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $19 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +31.4% +18.9% 39% 39% +38.7%
≤30d 44 +31.4% +18.9% 39% 39% +38.7%
≤90d 44 +31.4% +18.9% 39% 39% +38.7%
all 44 +31.4% +18.9% 39% 39% +38.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.9% 39% +38.7%
10% ← realistic here +7.5% 34% +25.4%
15% -2.8% 34% +13.3%
20% -12.4% 32% +2.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $219.65 · official $219.66 (match) · 78 history records