Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:46:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7f1…e6cb
crypto · 17 markets active 2h ago
3.5score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses7 / 9
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)16 / 17
History coverage18d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group D UNiTY esports 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET May 27 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET May 27 $2 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET May 27 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET May 27 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET May 26 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET May 26 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 26 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET May 26 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET May 26 $4 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 26 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 26 $2 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League May 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$4
other 25% +$5
sports 3% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 16d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 17d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 17d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-37.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +109.2% +89.2% 100% 100% +89.2%
≤30d 16 -30.9% -37.5% 44% 38% -8.5%
≤90d 16 -30.9% -37.5% 44% 38% -8.5%
all 16 -30.9% -37.5% 44% 38% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -37.5% 38% -8.5%
10% -43.5% 31% -17.3%
15% -49.0% 25% -25.3%
20% -54.0% 12% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.96 · official $4.96 (match) · 41 history records