trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 100% | 0% | -7.4% |
| all | 24 | +5.6% | -4.4% | 100% | 12% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.4% | 12% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -13.6% | 8% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -21.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -29.6% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 20 | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in January? | Mar 23 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Mar 23 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Janua | Mar 23 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will no CEO be announced in 2025? | Jan 08 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 08 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Jan 08 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novem | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Dec 11 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Nov 06 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October? | Nov 06 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on Septembe | Oct 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $105K in September? | Oct 22 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 18? | Sep 22 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in August? | Sep 22 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Liverpool lead the EPL in points at midway point? | Aug 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Aug 18 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Aug 18 | $2 | +$1 | +32% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Nov 26 | $7,751 | +$8 | +0% |
| 2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House | Nov 25 | $1 | $0 | +3% |