Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:31:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7ea…9a9e
crypto · 361 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$430 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$429 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$35
Realized−$429
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses335 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)359 / 361
History coverage5d
Avg bet$110
Trades / day280.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 2 History 359 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$553
7 days−$429
14 days−$429
30 days−$429
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-3%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $460 $0 −$460 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $155 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $151 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $170 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $210 +$4 +2%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$3 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$2 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $160 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $47 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $80 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +5%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $4 +$2 +57%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +6%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $320 +$5 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $285 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $361 +$9 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $301 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $120 +$3 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $175 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 90% −$188
other 10% −$244
sports 0% +$2
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $50 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 359 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 9% -10.5%
≤30d 359 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 9% -10.5%
≤90d 359 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 9% -10.5%
all 359 -0.2% -9.7% 93% 9% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover280.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 9% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 5% -19.1%
15% -26.3% 4% -26.9%
20% -33.5% 2% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.43 · official $35.44 (match) · 2052 history records