Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T12:17:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf7e3…0d7c crypto 373 markets active 4d ago coverage 12d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (188 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$167 (-1%) realized −$167 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +302% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +209% what you keep after slip
Net edge+209%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate43%162W / 211L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day188.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$40now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$892
14 days−$1,444
30 days−$1,509
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$1,509
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (188 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+263.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 84 +99.6% +80.6% 45% 45% -27.0%
≤30d 373 +301.9% +263.6% 43% 42% -22.2%
≤90d 373 +301.9% +263.6% 43% 42% -22.2%
all 373 +301.9% +263.6% 43% 42% -22.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover188.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +263.6% 42% -22.2%
10% ← realistic here +228.8% 39% -29.7%
15% +197.1% 36% -36.5%
20% +167.9% 32% -42.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +302% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +375% → late +229% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$33 vs −$33 · ×1.02 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

12d coverage
Net worth$40
Realized−$167
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses162 / 211
Open positions0
Markets (closed)373 / 373
History coverage12d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day188.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 373 Trades
no open positions (282 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$59 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $131 −$64 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$18 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$81 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$96 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $106 −$100 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$71 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $60 −$58 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$10 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $89 +$24 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $134 −$100 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $155 −$57 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $176 −$45 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$7 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $137 −$16 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $74 −$70 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$70 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$8 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$36 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$17 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $71 −$70 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$34 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$25 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $74 −$70 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$130 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$49 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $74 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$34 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $43 +$17 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$62 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $85 +$84 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $105 −$30 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$17 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$48 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $130 +$38 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$82 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$39 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$170 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$46 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $69 −$36 -52%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $119 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $49 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $12 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $78 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $7 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $15 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.40 · official $0.00 · 2350 history records