trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | -21.9% | -29.3% | 25% | 25% | +0.0% |
| all | 25 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 44% | 8% | -6.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.6% | 8% | -6.8% |
| 10% | -21.0% | 4% | -15.8% |
| 15% | -28.6% | 4% | -23.9% |
| 20% | -35.6% | 4% | -31.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 11 | $23 | −$22 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 23 | $120 | −$119 | -99% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $421 | −$1 | -0% |
| Golden Knights vs. Predators | Mar 23 | $197 | +$223 | +113% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Mar 12 | $197 | +$3 | +1% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 02 | $192 | +$1 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | Jan 30 | $195 | +$2 | +1% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 25 | $181 | +$9 | +5% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | Jan 19 | $179 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in January? | Jan 15 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 13 | $182 | $0 | -0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Jan 07 | $185 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 30 | $178 | $0 | -0% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? | Dec 24 | $184 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Dec 21 | $4 | $0 | -6% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Dec 10 | $176 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Dec 03 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Dec 01 | $185 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Nov 28 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 21 | $177 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | Nov 19 | $178 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Nov 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Nov 14 | $183 | −$1 | -0% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Nov 09 | $3 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 05 | $168 | +$12 | +7% |