Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7c3…eac2
sports · 456 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$38 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$34 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized+$34
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses244 / 184
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions28
Markets (closed)428 / 456
History coverage34d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 28 History 428 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$64
14 days−$12
30 days+$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 40¢ 74¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+86%)
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jiri Lehecka 55¢ 78¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+43%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 79¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+27%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 40¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 44¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 49¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Daniel Galan 62¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+60%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 69¢ 58¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 70¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+43%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+41%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 71¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+41%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? No 93¢ 93¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 96¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Under 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Under 95¢ 94¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 +$2 +188%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $2 $0 +17%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +79%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $1 +$1 +46%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 +$1 +83%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $2 +$2 +119%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $2 +$1 +48%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
ITF Guimaraes: Katherine Sebov vs Chelsea Fontenel Jun 11 $1 $0 +21%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $1 +$1 +134%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Mina Hodzic Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $2 +$2 +97%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $1 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$40
other 2% $0
economics 0% $0
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 40¢ $2 22m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 55¢ $2 22m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 40¢ $2 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 BUY Under 95¢ $1 1h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 62¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 77¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 81¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Jacob Fearnley 69¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 92¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger BUY Ashlyn Krueger 71¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Darja Vidmanova 70¢ $1 2h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 86¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 79¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 37¢ $1 3h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 37¢ $1 4h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 60¢ $2 4h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 85¢ $2 5h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Gabriela Ruse BUY Gabriela Ruse 4¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 90¢ $1 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 45¢ $1 6h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Atlanta Braves 49¢ $2 14h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 44¢ $2 14h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nicolas Kicker 68¢ $1 17h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $1 17h
Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? BUY No 55¢ $1 19h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Neither team to score first? BUY No 91¢ $1 19h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY No 97¢ $1 19h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Andrea Collarini 46¢ $2 19h
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin BUY No 100¢ $1 19h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 46¢ $4 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 251 -19.1% -26.8% 53% 44% -22.7%
≤30d 428 -4.8% -13.9% 57% 47% -10.7%
≤90d 428 -4.8% -13.9% 57% 47% -10.7%
all 428 -4.8% -13.9% 57% 47% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 47% -10.7%
10% -22.1% 38% -19.2%
15% -29.6% 30% -27.0%
20% -36.5% 22% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.33 · official $40.50 (match) · 939 history records