Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:49:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7bf…de43
crypto · 138 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$45 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$16 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$66
Realized−$16
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses82 / 53
Open positions3
Markets (closed)135 / 138
History coverage3d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day365.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 135 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$137
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 63¢ 68¢ $25 $27 +$2 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 80¢ 52¢ $38 $25 −$14 (-36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 84¢ 94¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 47¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 48¢ 32¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-34%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$37 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$27 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$8 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$18 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $157 −$129 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$9 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$20 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $149 −$32 -21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$8 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$26 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$11 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$12 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $148 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$21 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $136 +$13 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $110 +$10 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $131 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$19 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $153 +$38 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $150 −$7 -5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $152 +$13 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$26 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $133 +$18 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 14m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 135 -1.9% -11.2% 61% 44% -8.7%
≤30d 135 -1.9% -11.2% 61% 44% -8.7%
≤90d 135 -1.9% -11.2% 61% 44% -8.7%
all 135 -1.9% -11.2% 61% 44% -8.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover365.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 44% -8.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 30% -17.4%
15% -27.5% 19% -25.4%
20% -34.6% 12% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $66.16 · official $58.11 · 1157 history records