Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:59:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7bd…2a37
crypto · 952 markets active 18h ago
3.5score
+$205,796 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$205,841 · open −$45
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$110
Realized+$205,841
Unrealized−$45
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses683 / 268
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions1
Markets (closed)951 / 952
Avg bet$2,029
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 1 History 951 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$431
7 days+$631
14 days+$335
30 days+$361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 50¢ 91¢ $55 $100 +$45 (+82%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 50¢ 9¢ $55 $10 −$45 (-82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
76ers vs. Cavaliers 76ers 1¢ 0¢ $1,113 $0 −$1,113 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? No 9¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$124 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? Yes 68¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Over $15M committed to the Fabric public sale? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 19¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: MINLATE (-1.5) vs KOLESIE (+1.5) MINLATE 93¢ 0¢ $418 $0 −$418 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,044 +$434 +42%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $613 −$3 -0%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $1,138 $0 +0%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,292 +$200 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 31 $2 $0 +3%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $50 −$48 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 30 $28 −$27 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 30 $7 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 30 $25 +$1 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 30 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET May 30 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 30 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET May 30 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 29 $2 +$2 +93%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 29 $2,925 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET May 29 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 28 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 28 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 28 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 28 $34 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 28 $6 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 28 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 28 $4 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET May 28 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 28 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 28 $181 +$16 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 28 $36 −$30 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 28 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 28 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 28 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 28 $7 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 28 $27 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET May 28 $63 +$26 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET May 27 $2 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET May 27 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 27 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET May 27 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET May 27 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET May 26 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET May 26 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET May 26 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET May 26 $5 +$6 +124%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$2,974
sports 12% +$99,682
other 5% +$33,449
tech 2% +$4,185
politics 2% +$20,442
culture 1% +$778
finance 1% +$23,350
world 0% +$7,237
weather 0% +$4,086
economics 0% +$9,614
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1,044 17h
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 50¢ $610 28h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $109 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $2 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $6 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $2 30h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $494 31h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 83¢ $678 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 58¢ $56 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 58¢ $194 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 58¢ $428 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 61¢ $115 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 50¢ $498 3d
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY HANJIN BRION 3¢ $50 11d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $11 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 12d
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner BUY DN SOOPers 19¢ $205 12d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $21 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 13d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 13d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+18.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +14.1% +3.3% 50% 50% +4.4%
≤30d 115 -9.1% -17.8% 63% 34% -6.6%
≤90d 129 -9.2% -17.9% 65% 31% -7.5%
all 951 +30.5% +18.0% 72% 12% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +18.0% 12% -1.0%
10% ← realistic here +6.7% 10% -10.4%
15% -3.6% 9% -19.1%
20% -13.0% 8% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $110.00 · official $110.00 (match) · 2350 history records