Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7a8…db62
other · 145 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$355 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$352 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$116
Realized−$352
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses45 / 98
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions2
Markets (closed)143 / 145
History coverage199d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 2 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$18
14 days−$37
30 days−$977
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 40¢ 38¢ $120 $114 −$6 (-5%)
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11? No 37¢ 24¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-35%)
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May? Yes 61¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings Chennai Super Kings 21¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals Sunrisers Hyderabad 33¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals Mumbai Indians 56¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals Kolkata Knight Riders 55¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nicolás Otamendi be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Will Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 13 $17 $0 -2%
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? Jun 13 $18 −$3 -17%
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 12 $38 −$1 -3%
Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Jun 12 $21 −$3 -12%
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? Jun 12 $30 $0 -1%
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 12 $28 −$1 -4%
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? Jun 12 $29 −$2 -8%
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 12 $20 −$1 -6%
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 08 $36 −$1 -3%
Tabi FDV above $250M one day after launch? Jun 07 $33 −$3 -9%
Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2027? Jun 07 $5 −$1 -13%
Will BULK launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 06 $43 −$2 -4%
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? Jun 04 $28 −$1 -4%
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $37 −$2 -5%
Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead under Jun 04 $5 −$1 -25%
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.75B and $2.0B at market c Jun 04 $62 +$1 +2%
Will Quantinuum's market cap be between $22B and $25B at market close Jun 04 $37 −$1 -3%
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close Jun 04 $11 −$1 -13%
Will Quantinuum's market cap be at least $25B at market close on IPO d Jun 04 $91 −$3 -3%
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.5B and $1.75B at market c Jun 04 $184 −$8 -4%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the Jun 03 $4 −$1 -28%
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as th Jun 03 $7 −$1 -18%
Will Propr launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 02 $32 −$4 -14%
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Jun 01 $218 −$4 -2%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 01 $150 +$7 +4%
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2027? May 31 $114 −$8 -7%
Will Shubman Gill win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? May 31 $91 +$13 +14%
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be at least $3B at market close on I May 31 $2 $0 -25%
Will Innio's market cap be between $20B and $23B at market close on IP May 31 $26 −$2 -6%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals May 29 $38 +$29 +75%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2027? May 29 $149 −$76 -51%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $780b and $800b on June 30? May 28 $1 $0 -14%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $680b on June 30? May 28 $3 $0 -4%
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $740b and $760b on June 30? May 28 $38 −$1 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pam Bondi by June 30, 2026? May 28 $18 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Megyn Kelly by June 30, 2026? May 28 $17 $0 -0%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026? May 28 $8 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by June 30, 2026? May 28 $6 $0 -1%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals May 27 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2027? May 27 $36 −$9 -26%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May? May 26 $85 −$85 -100%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? May 25 $150 −$6 -4%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitals May 24 $177 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 24 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 24 $26 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 24 $164 −$92 -56%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals May 24 $182 −$180 -99%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? May 24 $175 −$93 -54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$445
sports 30% +$335
crypto 15% −$245
world 2% −$4
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 36¢ $14 1h
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 37¢ $18 1h
Will Nicolás Otamendi be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 19¢ $5 1h
Will Nicolás Otamendi be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 19¢ $5 1h
Will Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL Yes 85¢ $17 1h
Will Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY Yes 86¢ $17 1h
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 37¢ $7 1h
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? SELL No 39¢ $8 1h
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11? BUY No 45¢ $18 2h
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? SELL No 73¢ $36 16h
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY No 75¢ $15 16h
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY No 75¢ $23 16h
Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? SELL No 62¢ $18 16h
Will Ecuador go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? BUY No 70¢ $21 17h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 74¢ $4 19h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 74¢ $0 19h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? SELL No 74¢ $25 19h
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11? BUY No 74¢ $30 19h
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL No 47¢ $18 21h
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL No 47¢ $9 21h
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY No 47¢ $9 21h
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY No 47¢ $3 21h
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY No 47¢ $16 21h
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? SELL No 56¢ $27 23h
Tabi FDV above $100M one day after launch? BUY No 57¢ $29 23h
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? SELL Yes 60¢ $12 24h
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? BUY Yes 61¢ $13 24h
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 40¢ $38 2d
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 40¢ $18 2d
Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2027? SELL No 42¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -6.4% -15.4% 0% 0% -14.7%
≤30d 107 -16.5% -24.5% 22% 17% -24.1%
≤90d 132 -5.4% -14.4% 29% 23% -15.4%
all 143 -3.9% -13.1% 31% 25% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 25% -13.6%
10% -21.4% 23% -21.8%
15% -29.0% 20% -29.4%
20% -35.9% 17% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116.40 · official $116.40 (match) · 668 history records