Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:46:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf7a6…a4b8
other · 34 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$11 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$225
Realized+$12
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions31
Markets (closed)3 / 34
History coverage2d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit56%
Chart Positions 31 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$12
14 days+$12
30 days+$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+0%)
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $16 $16 −$0 (-2%)
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 27¢ 25¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-8%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 51¢ 66¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? No 41¢ 52¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+28%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-4%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 76¢ 91¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+19%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? No 25¢ 28¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 28¢ 22¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-20%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? No 43¢ 42¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? No 21¢ 20¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 40¢ 38¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 +$18 +344%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me Jun 13 $5 −$3 -66%
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 52% −$5
world 29% +$6
tech 7% −$1
economics 7% −$7
sports 2% +$18
crypto 2% $0
politics 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY No 21¢ $4 53m
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 27¢ $10 1h
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? BUY No 27¢ $6 1h
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026? BUY No 43¢ $5 1h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? BUY Yes 31¢ $16 1h
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 29¢ $2 2h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 2h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 2h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $5 12h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 12¢ $13 12h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 15h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 15h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? BUY No 25¢ $10 15h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? BUY No 41¢ $10 15h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 51¢ $10 15h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 76¢ $10 15h
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju BUY Yes 7¢ $2 36h
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 BUY Yes 1¢ $1 36h
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 36h
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 BUY Yes 0¢ $5 36h
Fed rate hike in 2026? BUY Yes 40¢ $3 36h
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $3 36h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL Yes 0¢ $2 36h
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY Yes 0¢ $5 36h
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? BUY Yes 0¢ $2 36h
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 28¢ $5 36h
Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA BUY Yes 28¢ $5 36h
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 14¢ $5 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+44.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +59.5% +44.3% 33% 33% +79.4%
≤30d 3 +59.5% +44.3% 33% 33% +79.4%
≤90d 3 +59.5% +44.3% 33% 33% +79.4%
all 3 +59.5% +44.3% 33% 33% +79.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +44.3% 33% +79.4%
10% ← realistic here +30.5% 33% +62.3%
15% +17.9% 33% +46.6%
20% +6.3% 33% +32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $224.73 · official $225.39 (match) · 43 history records