Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:10:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf791…013a
crypto · 56 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$10 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses52 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)56 / 56
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$10
7 days+$10
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 +5.5% -4.6% 93% 34% -7.7%
≤30d 56 +5.5% -4.6% 93% 34% -7.7%
≤90d 56 +5.5% -4.6% 93% 34% -7.7%
all 56 +5.5% -4.6% 93% 34% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.6% 34% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -13.7% 23% -16.5%
15% -22.0% 5% -24.6%
20% -29.7% 4% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 123 history records