Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf768…7831
sports · 398 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$188 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$525 · open −$337
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$525
Unrealized−$337
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses215 / 181
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$282
Open positions2
Markets (closed)396 / 398
History coverage61d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day40.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 396 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$128
7 days+$1,068
14 days+$1,676
30 days+$1,078
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 48¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 29¢ 1¢ $353 $16 −$337 (-95%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 +$11 +105%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $171 +$147 +86%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $60 +$46 +76%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $100 −$100 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $10 +$10 +97%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $60 +$74 +124%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $20 +$18 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $171 −$171 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $110 +$103 +93%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $211 −$211 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $281 −$281 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $171 +$141 +83%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $70 +$51 +73%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $110 −$110 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $161 +$170 +106%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $502 +$585 +117%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $311 +$257 +83%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5 Jun 08 $20 +$18 +90%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 07 $241 +$177 +74%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 07 $171 +$147 +86%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $60 −$60 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $30 +$31 +102%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $361 +$395 +109%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 07 $90 +$81 +90%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $10 +$11 +114%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Jun 07 $402 −$402 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $90 −$90 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $70 −$70 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $211 +$271 +129%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $10 +$9 +93%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $30 −$30 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $50 −$50 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $10 +$6 +60%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5 Jun 06 $512 +$498 +97%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $130 +$143 +110%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $321 +$226 +70%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $100 −$100 -100%
Will M80 win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 04 $50 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $60 +$61 +102%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playo Jun 04 $20 −$10 -51%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 Jun 04 $10 +$11 +109%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 04 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% +$726
other 9% −$539
world 3% $0
finance 0% +$2
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $10 42m
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $10 42m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 27¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 28¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 29¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +13.6% +2.7% 58% 58% +11.9%
≤30d 238 +0.8% -8.8% 52% 49% +0.2%
≤90d 396 -1.1% -10.6% 54% 46% -7.2%
all 396 -1.1% -10.6% 54% 46% -7.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 46% -7.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.1% 42% -16.1%
15% -26.9% 36% -24.2%
20% -34.1% 34% -31.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $35.96 · official $35.96 (match) · 2976 history records