Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:03:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
F7 0xf768…4ed7 crypto 38 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (82 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$2 (-0%) realized −$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR26%break-even
Win rate53%20W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day82.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (82 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -6.4% -15.3% 53% 26% -12.8%
≤30d 38 -6.4% -15.3% 53% 26% -12.8%
≤90d 38 -6.4% -15.3% 53% 26% -12.8%
all 38 -6.4% -15.3% 53% 26% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 26% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 8% -21.2%
15% -30.8% 0% -28.8%
20% -37.6% 0% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 20% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.59 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses20 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day82.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 38 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 20 $5 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 20 $40 −$25 -62%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -93%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$7 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$11 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 20 $40 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$3 -12%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$10 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $20 −$1 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$3 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$8 -30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$8 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 20 $25 +$5 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $25 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 20 $25 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $12 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 20 $14 −$8 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $14 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $28 −$4 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $14 −$3 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $27 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$3 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $14 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$2 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 20 $14 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $6 54m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $15 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $46 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $40 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $22 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $14 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $26 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $19 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 48¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $19 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $33 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $24 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 85 history records