trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 50% | 0% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 25% | 0% | -10.0% |
| all | 27 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 41% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $9 | $9 | +$1 (+7%) |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $24 | −$2 | -7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $24 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $50 | $0 | -0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 05 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $47 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 24 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Apr 26 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | Apr 25 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the PPC win 5 or more seats in the next Canadian Election? | Apr 25 | $140 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 25 | $108 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25? | Apr 25 | $41 | $0 | +1% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Apr 24 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 24 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? | Apr 24 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 24 | $12 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 24 | $23 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $79000 and $81000 on Apr 25? | Apr 24 | $117 | $0 | +0% |