Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:59:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf756…7d78
crypto · 1671 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,643 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,644 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,644
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1474 / 426
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1900 / 1671
History coverage41d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day49.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1900 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,484
7 days−$1,491
14 days−$1,475
30 days−$1,525
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 98¢ 97¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 0¢ 84¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on May 14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -96%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$96
weather 1% −$62
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 50m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 -50.6% -55.3% 45% 9% -82.8%
≤30d 1455 -17.0% -24.9% 78% 6% -26.8%
≤90d 1900 -13.4% -21.7% 78% 16% -23.7%
all 1900 -13.4% -21.7% 78% 16% -23.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 16% -23.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.1% 8% -31.0%
15% -36.0% 4% -37.6%
20% -42.3% 3% -43.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.90 · official $2.46 (match) · 3500 history records