Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:27:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf756…f69f
crypto · 320 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$61 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses170 / 150
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 320
History coverage24d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day18.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$29
14 days−$55
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +106%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -36%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $1 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 44h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $1 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 44h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 45h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $1 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 46h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -24.1% -31.3% 32% 32% -33.4%
≤30d 320 -10.0% -18.6% 53% 48% -22.0%
≤90d 320 -10.0% -18.6% 53% 48% -22.0%
all 320 -10.0% -18.6% 53% 48% -22.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 48% -22.0%
10% -26.4% 42% -29.5%
15% -33.5% 29% -36.3%
20% -40.0% 18% -42.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 802 history records