trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Curaçao? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | Natus Vincere | 3¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $30 | $0 | −$30 (-100%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $6 | $0 | −$6 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $12 | +$10 | +78% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 10 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 3 Winner | Mar 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam | Mar 29 | $2 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Dec 23 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | Nov 02 | $149 | +$71 | +48% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | Nov 02 | $99 | +$50 | +51% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 50% | 50% | +10.5% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -11.2% | -19.7% | 50% | 50% | +10.5% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -44.5% | -49.8% | 25% | 25% | -0.3% |
| all | 7 | -25.6% | -32.7% | 43% | 43% | +18.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.7% | 43% | +18.8% |
| 10% | -39.2% | 43% | +7.4% |
| 15% | -45.0% | 43% | -2.9% |
| 20% | -50.4% | 29% | -12.5% |