Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf755…ad0f
other · 76 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$138 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$128 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$128
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses25 / 47
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)72 / 76
History coverage167d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit39%
Chart Positions 3 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18
7 days+$27
14 days+$27
30 days+$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 12¢ 8¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-33%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-98%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? Yes 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20? Yes 75¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer Yes 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $7 $0 -4%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 $0 -9%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$16 +1519%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 +$10 +473%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $13 +$11 +86%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET May 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? May 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? May 18 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 11 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 11 $1 +$15 +1447%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? May 11 $10 +$7 +65%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-25? Apr 26 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 2 - 1 Southampton FC? Apr 25 $2 +$12 +588%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25? Apr 25 $15 +$10 +67%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24? Apr 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? Apr 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona? Apr 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Fermín Lopez: Anytime Goalscorer Apr 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona? Apr 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid? Apr 08 $2 −$2 -97%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? Apr 07 $5 +$7 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Apr 04 $4 +$2 +50%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? Apr 04 $9 +$4 +45%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20? Mar 20 $10 −$10 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Mar 20 $28 −$17 -62%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18? Mar 19 $17 +$11 +64%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Mar 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? Mar 11 $3 $0 -7%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17? Mar 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? Mar 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? Mar 07 $10 +$7 +66%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? Mar 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? Mar 03 $5 +$4 +72%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 01 $15 −$15 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? Feb 28 $16 +$47 +294%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22? Feb 22 $6 −$6 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5 Feb 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 70% −$135
sports 18% −$27
world 8% +$23
crypto 2% +$12
economics 1% −$6
politics 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 25¢ $7 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $7 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 20¢ $2 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $3 1h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 1h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $17 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 24h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 28h
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? SELL Yes 100¢ $12 2d
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 2d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 53¢ $13 14d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? BUY Yes 49¢ $10 21d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 25d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 25d
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 26d
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 31d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 33d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 33d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? BUY Yes 60¢ $10 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +283.4% +246.9% 43% 43% +96.2%
≤30d 13 +120.7% +99.7% 31% 31% +31.9%
≤90d 39 +66.6% +50.8% 36% 36% +10.2%
all 72 +23.5% +11.8% 35% 35% -29.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +11.8% 35% -29.0%
10% +1.1% 32% -35.8%
15% -8.7% 29% -42.0%
20% -17.6% 26% -47.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.37 · official $9.37 · 127 history records