Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:17:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

F7
0xf750…23e9
politics · 116 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 106
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage119d
Avg bet$53
Trades / day2.4
Drawdown56%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $8 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $6 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $5 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 07 $7 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 07 $51 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 31 $53 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 31 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $6 $0 -0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $54 $0 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 27 $49 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 27 $92 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 26 $96 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 26 $88 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 24 $44 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 24 $77 $0 -0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 23 $102 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 22 $41 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $39 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 19 $52 $0 -0%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 18 $55 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 17 $91 $0 -0%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 16 $47 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 15 $50 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 14 $98 $0 -0%
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? May 13 $95 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 13 $95 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 13 $56 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 12 $41 $0 -0%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? May 12 $159 $0 -0%
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 11 $39 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $54 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $128 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $119 $0 -0%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 07 $42 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? May 06 $3 $0 +1%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no May 05 $44 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $51 $0 -0%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 04 $37 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $55 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 03 $105 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $42 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 02 $147 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 02 $40 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $46 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 02 $42 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 01 $41 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 30 $46 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 30 $98 $0 -0%
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 29 $52 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $51 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 41% −$3
politics 37% −$3
sports 10% +$12
tech 5% $0
economics 3% $0
crypto 2% $0
world 1% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 1h
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 2d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 3d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $8 3d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $8 4d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $6 5d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $6 5d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $5 5d
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 5d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $7 6d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $7 6d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $5 6d
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $5 7d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $10 13d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $10 13d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $9 13d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $9 13d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $6 14d
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $6 14d
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $54 14d
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $54 16d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $49 17d
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $49 17d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 17d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $50 17d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $55 18d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $55 18d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $40 18d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $40 19d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $42 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 23 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 93 -0.1% -9.6% 3% 0% -9.6%
all 115 +0.8% -8.8% 8% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 3% -9.4%
10% -17.5% 2% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 2% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.99 · official $9.99 (match) · 329 history records